Bangkok Post, Lub Kaum Hli 3 (Bangkok Post) -- Thaib Lub Tuam Txhab Tswj Xyuas Hluav Taws Xob tau pib tsim cov qauv rau cov chaw muab hluav taws xob huv los txhawb lub zog tauj dua tshiab.
Ntshuam natural gas dominates Thaib lub zog system. Hauv 25 xyoo tom ntej no, qhov no yuav hloov pauv ntau, vim tias Thaib tau txav mus rau lub zog hluav taws xob uas tsim 66 feem pua ntawm nws lub zog yam tsis muaj cov pa roj carbon emissions thiab tuaj yeem xa hluav taws xob los ntawm cov tebchaws nyob sib ze. Hnub ci yuav tsum suav rau tus tsov ntxhuav feem ntawm lub peev xwm tshiab, loj hlob los ntawm 4 feem pua ntawm cov peev txheej niaj hnub no mus rau 30 feem pua los ntawm 2040.
Los ntawm 2040, Thaib teb qhov kev thov hluav taws xob yuav nce 47 feem pua, thiab kev siv hluav taws xob yuav nce los ntawm 166TWh hauv 2015 txog 244TWh, nrog rau kev loj hlob txhua xyoo ntawm 1.6 feem pua. Thaib lub peev xwm tsim hluav taws xob tag nrho yuav ua ob npaug los ntawm 2015 qib mus rau 92GW los ntawm 2040, nrog 67GW ntawm cov peev txheej tshiab ntxiv. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, 18.5GW ntawm cov chaw siv hluav taws xob thermal yuav raug tshem tawm, feem ntau yog cov roj hluav taws xob hluav taws xob (15.8GW). Pv yuav suav txog 39 feem pua ntawm 67GW ntawm lub peev xwm tshiab. Los ntawm 2040, PV peev xwm yuav nce kaum npaug rau 27.8GW, suav txog 30 feem pua ntawm tag nrho cov peev txheej.
Los ntawm 2040, hluav taws xob tauj dua tshiab thiab txawv teb chaws yuav ntau dua plaub npaug, suav txog 60 feem pua ntawm tag nrho tiam. Qhov sib faib ntawm lub zog thermal yuav poob los ntawm 82 feem pua hauv 2015 mus rau 37 feem pua, uas tau tsav los ntawm 66 feem pua poob hauv kev siv roj av. Txog xyoo 2040, cov roj ntsha ntuj yuav suav txog tsuas yog 17 feem pua ntawm kev tsim hluav taws xob.
Photovoltaic thiab cua fais fab tam sim no raug nqi ntau dua $ 120 toj ib megawatt teev, siab dua thee thiab natural gas. Tab sis raws li kev txhim kho loj hlob thiab kev siv thev naus laus zis txhim kho, tus nqi ntawm kilowatt-teev (LCOE) ntawm photovoltaic thiab cua zog yuav poob qis dua $ 100 ib megawatt teev los ntawm 2025 thiab 2030, feem, qis dua tus nqi roj thiab thee fais fab.
Feem ntau hais lus, txhawm rau ua kom muaj kev ruaj ntseg ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob, tsoomfwv Thaib yuav tsum tsim kom muaj lub zog hluav taws xob tawm tswv yim, txuas ntxiv mus rau txoj kev txuag hluav taws xob, thiab ua kom muaj kev tswj hwm macro raws li qhov xwm txheej tiag tiag, xws li nce hluav taws xob. tus nqi, kom txo lossis tswj kev nplua nuj thiab pov tseg. Txawm hais tias lub zog hluav taws xob thermal tseem tseem yog lub zog tsim hluav taws xob tseem ceeb hauv Thaib teb nyob rau lub sijhawm luv luv, cov khoom siv hluav taws xob txuas ntxiv thiab cov hluav taws xob huv huv tau nce ntxiv. Kev tsim hluav taws xob tauj dua tshiab yog qhov kev txhim kho yav tom ntej ntawm Thaib kev lag luam hluav taws xob.
Khomgrich, tus thawj coj ntawm pawg thawj coj saib xyuas tau hais tias nyob nruab nrab ntawm 2022 thiab 2030, National Grid yuav yuav 5.2 gigawatts ntawm hluav taws xob los ntawm cov chaw tsim hluav taws xob tsim hluav taws xob, Lawv yog biogas (335 megawatts), cua zog (1,500 megawatts), hauv av hnub ci zog (2,368 megawatts) thiab hauv av hnub ci zog nrog lub zog cia (1,{10}} megawatts). Cov thawj coj npaj yuav pib qhov kev sib tw thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis-Lub Kaum Ob Hlis, tshaj tawm cov txiaj ntsig hauv Lub Ib Hlis thiab tshaj tawm cov txiaj ntsig kawg hauv lub Tsib Hlis lossis Lub Rau Hli xyoo tom ntej tom qab kev txheeb xyuas. Lub sijhawm ua haujlwm fais fab yuav tsum yog 2024-2030. Cov thawj coj cia siab tias yuav tsim tau tag nrho 200 billion បាត hauv kev nqis peev uas siv hluav taws xob huv. Cov tuam txhab hluav taws xob Thaib tau hais tias lawv yuav koom nrog kev sib tw.